In a time of much uncertainty surrounding the healthcare reform, according to a June 14th PricewaterhouseCoopers, 'Behind the Numbers Report', employer costs are estimated to increase around 9%. The good news is this is a drop of 0.5% from 2010 growth rate. What are the primary contributors?
On the encouraging side, there are three areas expected to deflat or hold medical costs:
- Pre-managed care design that increases deductibles and replacing co-pays with co-insurnance.
- Drugs costs cooled by expansion of generic drug portfolio. High volume drugs such as Lipitor patents expire in 2011.
- COBRA costs expected to level off. (side note: Congress has introduced an extension of the subsidy, legislation (S. 3548), that would reinstate through 11/30/2010).
- Hospitals and Physicians move costs from Medicare to private payers/employers. This will be the top reason for higher costs.
- Care-provider consolidation. Private practices will decrease while groups emerge.
- 2011 Stimulus funds will launch electronic hospital records implementations to avoid 2015 Medicare penalties. This will be a billion dollar invest in to technology.
PricewaterhouseCoopers' report is available at www.pwc.com/us/medicalcosts2011.
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